Celtics vs. Warriors: Boston can still be NBA champions, but it's going to have to show us something
2022 NBA Finals: Warriors vs. Celtics prediction, odds, line, Game 6 picks from proven model on 88-60 run
Celtics vs. Warriors odds, prediction, line: 2022 NBA Finals picks, Game 6 best bets from expert on 39-18 roll
Boston Celtics shooting guard Jaylen Brown had been arguably the team's best player in the 2022 NBA Finals, but he struggled against a strong defensive effort from the Golden State Warriors on Monday night. Brown shot just 5 of 18 from the floor, including a 0 of 5 effort from beyond the arc. He had scored a combined 48 points over his previous two games in the series, so it was a letdown performance in Game 5.
Brown enters Game 6 on Thursday at 9 p.m. ET with an over-under of 24.5 points in the latest NBA player prop odds at Caesars Sportsbook. He has only gone over that total once in his last seven games, so should you be fading him with your NBA Finals prop bets? Before betting any NBA props for Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6, you need to see the Warriors vs. Celtics prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the final week of the 2022 NBA Finals on a stunning 88-60 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns!.
After simulating Game 6 of Warriors vs. Celtics 10,000 times, the model projects Golden State small forward Andrew Wiggins to go under 18.5 points at -145 odds. The model has him scoring 14.7 points in the simulations. He has played in 103 games this season, but he has only gone over 18.5 points in 32 of those contests. His point total has risen following his outstanding effort in Game 5 on Monday night.
However, the model does not expect Wiggins to duplicate that performance against the top defensive team in the NBA. He had gone under 18.5 points in the previous three games in this series, scoring just 11 points in Game 2. The Celtics are going to focus on keeping Wiggins out of the paint on Thursday night, and he is likely not accurate enough to score 20 points from beyond the arc.
The Golden State Warriors are one win away from winning the 2022 NBA championship, and if you’re wondering how you can watch Thursday’s pivotal Game 6 live, you’ve come to the right place.
The Warriors took control of the series with a win at home in Game 5, as Andrew Wiggins led Golden State with 26 points in a 104-94 win. Steph Curry went 0-for-9 from long-range in the win, finishing with 16 points.
The Warriors already have one win at TD Garden in the 2022 NBA Finals in Game 4, when Curry exploded for 43 points to tie the series.
I typically try to defend my picks with as much objective information as I possibly can. I'll provide some in the over/under and in the prop picks. But if you're asking me why I, the writer of this column, have bet my own personal funds on the Golden State Warriors winning the NBA championship on Thursday, it's really this simple: They can taste it. It was apparent when they separated themselves in the fourth quarter, when Draymond Green was scoring points in the first, when Jordan Poole made his second bonkers buzzer-beater of the series, when Andrew Wiggins started making every contested jumper he took. My entirely subjective memory is struggling to recall many instances of a team seemingly separating itself this deep into the Finals and not walking away with the title. The Warriors know this feeling well.
They've been on both sides of it in the Finals. Six years ago, they were in this exact situation. They had a chance to close out the Finals on the road against Cleveland. They failed, and lost Game 7 at home. There are strategic and statistical reasons for me to lean Golden State, but at this stage of the Finals, you ultimately have to trust your gut a little bit. Mine is telling me that the Warriors are about to become the NBA champions.
That year they led the Finals against LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers 3-1. They lost the last three games including a historic Game 7. That has stuck to the franchise.
This isn't the same situation, but many of the same key figures are around six years later as the team leads the Boston Celtics 3-2 in the NBA Finals. They won't want to mess around with another Game 7, if they can help it.
The Warriors are 3.5-point underdogs at BetMGM against the Celtics for Game 6 on Thursday. Boston being favored makes some sense, considering the Celtics are a fantastic team and they're back at home facing elimination. But it also ignores a bit how the series has gone.
The Warriors have locked up Boston's offense the past two games. The Celtics haven't reached 100 points in either game, both Warriors wins that turned around the series. A lot of Boston's offensive issues are self-inflicted, as turnovers have piled up. But Golden State has something to do with those turnovers. Their defense, which is generally underrated, has been fantastic as they've taken over the series. It looks like Steve Kerr and his staff have figured out Boston.
Taking the points in the NBA Finals, or the playoffs in general, doesn't seem prudent anymore. All five Finals games have been decided by double digits. The playoffs as a whole have been filled with lopsided games, for whatever reason. It has been rare for an underdog to cover and not win. That's why Golden State +140 seems like the right play for Thursday night. Suddenly the Warriors look like the better team, one with the best player in the series (Stephen Curry) and all the momentum.
The Golden State Warriors have a chance to clinch the series win when they go on the road to take on the Boston Celtics in Game 6 of the 2022 NBA Finals on Thursday night. The Warriors defended their home court in Game 5 and secured a 104-94 victory. Boston will look to do the same and force a Game 7. Robert Williams III (knee) is questionable for Boston. Golden State lists Otto Porter Jr. (foot) and Andre Iguodala (knee) as questionable.
Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET at TD Garden. Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston at -4 in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. The over-under for total points is set at 210. Before locking in any Celtics vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA Finals 2022 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2022 NBA Finals on a stunning 88-60 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Forward Jaylen Brown has been one of the most impactful players on the court for Boston. Brown is extremely athletic and explosive which he uses to his advantage. The California product knows how to finish through contact but can step back and knock down a jumper with ease. He's averaging 21.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game during the 2022 NBA Finals. Brown has logged 20-plus points in three of the five games played thus far.
Guard Marcus Smart is one of the best defensive guards in the NBA. He's a smart, heady defender who plays with physicality. The Oklahoma State product can also space the floor due to his reliable jumper. Smart has a knack for steals and can pile up them up in a hurry. He has scored 18-plus points in four of his last five games.
Guard Klay Thompson is known for his Game 6 performances. Thompson is a pure, knockdown shooter with an effortless stroke. The five-time All-Star can score in bunches and is fairly well-rounded. Thompson plays superb defense and gives maximum effort. He's averaging 18 points, 1.2 steals and is shooting 36 percent from three. In his last outing, Thompson logged 21 points and knocked down five 3-pointers.
Guard Jordan Poole provides Golden State with scoring off the bench. Poole is a natural shooting guard and a great athlete. The Michigan product can score at three levels and owns solid ball handles. Poole has scored 14-plus points in three of his last four games. In his last outing, he dropped 14 points and shot 3-for-6 from downtown.
Will the Golden State Warriors celebrate their fourth championship in eight seasons on Boston's home turf? Or will the 2022 NBA Finals be decided in a winner-take-all Game 7 in San Francisco?
Those are the stakes for Thursday's Game 6 at TD Garden. The Warriors own a 3-2 series lead after winning Game 4 in Boston and Game 5 at Chase Center to hand the Celtics back-to-back losses for the first time since late March. With a victory Thursday, the Warriors would become the first team since the 1990s Chicago Bulls to win at least four titles in an eight-year span.
The Celtics have been here before, however. They rallied from a 3-2 deficit in the Eastern Conference semifinals to defeat the Milwaukee Bucks in seven games and beat the Miami Heat on the road in Game 7 of the East Finals. They've played their best basketball with their backs against the wall, and they'll need to continue that trend Thursday night.
It's almost time to watch the Warriors vs Celtics live stream for game 6 of the NBA Finals, and this one could be the last. And while Boston shows up with a lack of momentum, they can't think about anything but winning tonight. As the game 5 NBA Playoffs live stream showed us, the Celtics could not follow the game 4 loss with a win — breaking their streak of wins following losses this post-season.
The big star for the Warriors in game 5 was Andrew Wiggins, whose post-season has been a palate cleanser from his history. Wiggins, who has demolished Jayson Tatum on defense, posted a double-double, with 26 points and 13 rebounds in game 5. Oh, and then he sealed the game with a dunk over Derrick Wright.
Speaking of Tatum, while his 27 points did lead the Celtics, his fourth quarter was a sad state of affairs. He missed four of five shots in the final frame, and posted a record nobody wants to have: most turnovers in a single post-season.
Boston is likely most upset because Golden State beat them without a strong performance from its golden child: Steph Curry only contributed 16 points to the overall total. If the rest of the Warriors can lift this team up to win, with a middling performance from Curry? That's not good for Boston's chances of forcing a game 7.
The Celtics kept making mistake after mistake — with 10 missed free throws and 18 turnovers — and they're likely hoping that their hometown crowd can push them to be the better version of themselves.
Having trouble actually getting ESPN3 or ABC? Even if you can't watch the Warriors vs Celtics live streams on cable, you're not out of luck. With a virtual private network, or VPN, you can appear to be surfing the web from your home town (or somewhere that blackouts won't hit), and access the same streaming services you already paid for.
The stakes couldn't be higher for the Boston Celtics heading into Game 6 of the NBA Finals against the Golden State Warriors on Thursday night. With a win they'll keep their championship hopes alive and force a decisive Game 7. With a loss, their season will come to an end and the Warriors will win their fourth ring in the past eight years under coach Steve Kerr.
At one point, Boston held a 2-1 lead in the series and things looked to be going its way. However, two straight poor performances in the fourth quarter now has the Celtics on the brink of elimination. Especially deflating for the Celtics is the fact that they held Steph Curry scoreless from beyond the arc in Game 5 and they still weren't able to walk away with a win. It seems unlikely that Curry is going to have two consecutive poor shooting performances. The good news for the Celtics is that they have proved adept at bouncing back after losses in this postseason. They're 7-1 directly after a loss in the playoffs, with their only loss coming in Game 5 against Golden State. Plus, they get to play in front of their home fans, so perhaps they'll get a boost from them.
Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors
When: Thursday, June 16 | 9 p.m. ET
Where: TD Garden -- Boston, Massachusetts
TV: ABC | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)
Odds: BOS -170; GS +145; O/U 210 (via Caesars Sportsbook)
When Steph Curry struggled in Game 5, the pieces around him stepped up. Andrew Wiggins had his best game of the postseason with 26 points and 13 rebounds, Klay Thompson dropped 21 points and Jordan Poole and Gary Payton II combined for 29 points off the bench. Is Golden State going to get similar contributions from those guys in Game 6? Because if so, Warriors fans should get ready to pop the champagne. The Warriors have gotten in trouble this postseason when they rely too heavily on Curry on the offensive end, but if he's getting help they're exceedingly tough to topple. Plus, we can probably assume that Curry will shoot at least a bit better from the field than he did in Game 5.
If Boston is going to extend its season, it'll going to need to take care of the ball. The Celtics had 18 turnovers that led to 22 points for Golden State in Game 5, and that simply isn't going to cut it against a team as dangerous and explosive as the Warriors. Live ball turnovers are especially tough against the Warriors since they're lethal in transition. This has been a trend all postseason. Basically, when the Celtics take care of the ball, they win. When they don't, they lose.
Boston will also need a big-time performance from Jayson Tatum, who has been held under 30 points in every Finals game so far. Tatum was selected to the All-NBA First Team this season, and simply put, he needs to play like it. Tatum needs to be aggressive from the jump and set the tone for the Celtics. If Boston can take care of the ball and get a standout game from Tatum, then perhaps this series will go the distance. If not, then the Warriors will likely be celebrating in front of the Boston nba. sdfSDS